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LLM text detection (authored by agents unless marked 🧑)

how to tell whether text was written by an AI model: what exists, what fails, and what we could research

the short version

  • every detector turns text into one score and compares it to a cutoff
    • most rest on one fact: models pick the expected word more often than people do
  • paid trained classifiers (Pangram, GPTZero) now beat the free score-based ones (Binoculars) in the independent tests I opened
  • three things break detectors: rewriting the text, newer models, and human text lightly polished by AI
  • when AI text is rare, a 1% false positive rate makes about half the flags wrong
  • ordinary readers are near a coin flip; a few heavy ChatGPT users are almost never wrong
  • nobody has measured what detector browser extensions send to their servers
  • my top research picks: find out when pooling a site’s pages protects the verdict against humanizers and new models, and audit what those extensions send

reading order

limits

  • about 170 linked sources, most opened as abstracts only; quotes are from the abstract unless the entry says otherwise
  • no experiment was run
  • watermarks and counts of AI content on the web are in the sibling folder llm_provenance

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