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research proposals: user-visible deception (authored by agents unless marked 🧑)

recommendation

  • begin with paired-view measurement
    • it can produce a useful result without private victim telemetry
  • use shared-hosting identity and search-based verification as focused extensions
  • these are agent recommendations
    • novelty is provisional until a broader search checks near-duplicate work
  • cited facts, quotes, and limits are in literature
  1. how much harmful content does an ordinary crawler fail to see?
  • question
    • how much measured phishing and scam exposure changes when visits follow an ordinary user’s route
  • prior foundation
    • PhishPrint measures recognizable crawlers
    • PhishDecloaker reveals content behind CAPTCHA screens
    • Sunrise to Sunset connects visits and delayed mitigation
  • proposed difference
    • attribute missed visibility to concrete path and browser differences across real campaigns
    • separate a collector’s inability to see from a detector’s inability to classify
  • pilot
    • collect several hundred fresh, public, reported URLs
    • visit promptly with a fixed desktop browser and a mobile configuration
    • compare direct visits with captured referral and redirect routes
    • perform bounded page interaction without submitting secrets
    • stratify by shared host, copied brand, challenge, and lure source
  • measurements
    • extra confirmed harmful pages per collection configuration
    • page-state disagreement across paired visits
    • detection changes for fixed baseline classifiers
    • added browser time and requests
    • unresolved and unreachable fractions
  • controls
    • ordinary sites using the same hosts and challenge software
    • visit order randomized where feasible
    • short time gaps and repeat visits to estimate temporal changes
  • publishable result
    • a defensible lower bound on undercounting within the sampled population
    • a collection recipe with measured cost and coverage
  • stop or narrow
    • if fresh public URLs cannot be collected rapidly enough
    • if page disagreement cannot be separated from rapid removal
  • unresolved novelty
    • prior evasion measurement already covers some configurations
    • broad “realistic crawling improves recall” would be insufficient
  1. when does a trusted hosting domain hide an untrusted tenant?
  • question
    • can browser protections distinguish malicious tenants from ordinary tenants without blocking a whole builder?
  • prior foundation
    • Free Waters finds builder-specific detection gaps
    • Phishpedia and PhishIntention compare brands with domains
  • proposed difference
    • represent identity at tenant and page granularity
    • evaluate protection and collateral damage together
  • pilot
    • select three builders with different URL and form-hosting designs
    • manually map tenant boundaries and authorized brand relationships
    • collect ordinary pages independently of threat feeds
    • compare parent-domain, tenant, page, and credential-destination decisions
  • measurements
    • campaign-weighted missed malicious pages
    • ordinary tenants falsely flagged
    • identity-evidence acquisition cost
    • recurrence under new paths and tenants
  • controls
    • ordinary organizations using builder-hosted contact forms
    • authorized payment and login providers
    • known brand pages without login requests
  • publishable result
    • a measured tradeoff between timely blocking and ordinary-page harm
    • a representation for brand authorization on shared hosts
  • stop or narrow
    • if tenant ownership cannot be verified for a useful independently sampled subset
  • unresolved novelty
    • tenant-sensitive URL reputation and provider abuse research need an additional search
    • builder-hosted phishing prevalence alone repeats Free Waters
  1. can search-backed verification become the scam’s endorsement?
  • question
    • when a user or browsing agent checks an unfamiliar service, does search corroborate attacker-controlled claims?
  • prior foundation
    • NOKEScam promotes invented names to dominate exact-match results
    • PhishLLM uses search to validate brand-domain identity
  • proposed difference
    • test the interaction between scam discovery and automated identity checking
    • identify evidence independence rather than count agreeing pages
  • pilot
    • obtain historical scam names and page snapshots from published or public reports
    • assemble matched ordinary new services and obscure organizations
    • compare exact-name search, broader search, and authority-restricted checks
    • evaluate agents on an archived source set first
    • add live search only with recorded queries and outputs
  • measurements
    • false legitimacy conclusions
    • acceptance of attacker-owned pages as independent corroboration
    • unsupported identity claims in final answers
    • abstention, false alarms, latency, and additional source visits
  • intervention
    • require the agent to distinguish operator-controlled pages from independently established evidence
    • require an explicit unresolved answer when evidence only repeats the service’s own claim
  • controls
    • new ordinary businesses with little independent coverage
    • genuinely independent directory entries
    • ordinary reseller and affiliate pages
  • publishable result
    • a benchmark for verifying unfamiliar web services
    • measured evidence rules that improve reliability without rejecting every small business
  • stop or narrow
    • if dataset labels only repeat blacklist verdicts
    • if live search cannot be replayed well enough to explain answer differences
  • unresolved novelty
    • search poisoning and retrieval prompt injection are already studied
    • novelty needs to center on independent identity evidence and measured user decisions
  1. which dependency survives when individual scam pages disappear?
  • question
    • do removed campaigns return through the same redirect, form, payment, or profile infrastructure?
  • prior foundation
    • Click Trajectories connects spam advertising to monetization bottlenecks
    • Evolving Bots connects profiles to scam campaigns
    • Dutch kit measurement connects sites through reusable software
  • proposed difference
    • compare removal of pages with persistence of reachable campaign paths
  • pilot
    • follow public lure and destination paths for several weeks
    • cluster using multiple independent signals
    • retain uncertainty about common templates and shared infrastructure
  • measurements
    • time to destination return
    • replacement domains and tenants
    • proportion of campaign paths interrupted
    • unrelated ordinary pages sharing each proposed dependency
  • controls
    • provider-wide shared assets and generic templates
    • independently verified campaigns
  • publishable result
    • evidence that a named dependency is durable and sufficiently specific to support intervention
  • feasibility limit
    • public browsing reveals only part of monetization
    • private provider data is probably necessary for strong payment or victim claims
  • unresolved novelty
    • without temporal return and collateral-damage measurements, this risks repeating infrastructure clustering

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