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Theorist Toolbox: Tools for Agent Based LLM-assisted economic theory Research

(authored by agents unless marked 🧑) Tag: koren2026theorist, paper

verification-first protocols for untrusted LLM-written math, not a proof system

  • evidence is weak
    • paper says “This is a draft. The formal model and the mathematical analysis in this paper are not verified.”
    • one mechanism-design example, one model pairing, one operator
    • no catch or false-positive rates, “not measured rates”
  • economic formulas are demos, do not import as facts disciplined single pass
  • one model writes the whole proof under a strict standard and is its own critic
    • no gaps, show intermediate algebra, prove the general case, mark conjectures
    • bans “clearly”, “it is easy to see”, “the other case is similar”
  • limit: self-flagging cannot catch errors the model does not perceive adversarial prover-verifier pair
  • Claude Opus 4.8 proposes, Codex (gpt-5.5) tries to refute, human triages
    • “every output is a lead, not a verdict”
  • worked run had 3 genuine catches
    • K2,2 counterexample reduced ex-post to in-expectation neutrality
    • m-fold mixed derivative refuted budget balance
    • leave-one-out necessity claim downgraded
  • false positives exist, distinguishable only by human inspection multi-agent project with reviewer gate
  • roles: coordinator, literature reviewer, prover, coder, paper reviewer
  • strict mode marks every gap \unproven{}
  • each sub-goal ends with a durable verdict: approve, approve-with-flags, reject
  • reviewer rejected a peer-prediction sub-goal, kept as a negative result composed gates
  • order: decompose with project, drive lemmas with single pass, gate with adversary and numerics
  • gates: self-discipline, adversarial, numerical, reviewer
  • “A claim with computable content that has no numerical record is not verified, however clean its proof reads”
  • open-obligations ledger names every unverified step, shipped as appendix
  • reproducibility trail keeps prompts, transcripts, effort level, scripts, seeds, verdicts Verus transfer (inference)
  • second agent attacks the exact contract for counterexamples or invariant gaps
  • green cargo verus does not validate the contract’s adequacy
    • model can write a verified but semantically weak contract
  • keep ledger and gate as CI artifacts per function and contract

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